280
You slip discreetly into the room, a drink in hand, opportunely bumping into a few people, brushing past others in a seemingly natural way. Your sharp eyes and nimble hands seek an opportunity to commit a crime.
Take a Dexterity Check with a difficulty of 10. A failure leads you to 6, an average success in 287, and a great success in 218.
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An anecdote to pass the time:
Hey, thief! If you ever find a ring of invisibility, don't think you can plunder the dragon's treasure with impunity. Dragons have a very keen sense of smell and hearing, not to mention their ability to detect the slightest vibrations around them. Depriving them of your sight won't make much difference.